AIamond
Head-to-Head Comparison

CNBCvsInvestors Business Daily

CNBC (38.6% hit rate) vs Investors Business Daily (37.0% hit rate): how often each source’s headline tone matched the later price move.

Neither did better against chance than the other

Based on 3910 and 600 checked headlines

CNBC

Ranked #3 of — sources

Metric
Investors Business Daily

Ranked #5 of — sources

Hit rate

38.6%vs37.0%

Checked reports

3,910vs600

Articles Analyzed

1,937vs405

Avg. Relevance

-vs-

Sentiment & Bias Analysis

How bullish or bearish each source’s headlines tend to be.

Sentiment Distribution

CNBC

Avg. Sentiment: 0.02
Bullish 51%Neutral 5%Bearish 45%

Investors Business Daily

Avg. Sentiment: 0.01
Bullish 52%Neutral 2%Bearish 45%

Market Context Coverage

Hit rate by marketCNBCInvestors Business Daily
AMD—1 (0%)
AST SpaceMobile1 (0%)—
AT&T1 (0%)—
Accenture—1 (0%)
Adobe—1 (0%)
Adobe, single software1 (0%)—
Affirm Holdings1 (0%)—
Airline1 (0%)—
Aluminum2 (0%)—
Amazon4 (0%)—
Anthropic IPO—1 (0%)
Apple2 (0%)1 (0%)
Argenx—1 (0%)
Asian stocks51 (3%)—
Australian stocks6 (0%)—
Automotive industry1 (0%)—
Autonomous driving1 (0%)—
BNB1 (0%)—
Baidu1 (0%)—
Berkshire Hathaway1 (0%)—
Biogen1 (0%)—
Biohaven—1 (0%)
Biotech1 (0%)2 (1%)
Bitcoin25 (2%)11 (3%)
Block Inc1 (0%)—
Bloom Energy—1 (0%)
Boeing—2 (1%)
Booking Holdings1 (0%)—
Brazilian2 (0%)—
Brazilian real1 (0%)—
CVS Health, healthcare/managed care1 (0%)—
ChargePoint1 (0%)—
China industrial profits1 (0%)—
China trade data1 (0%)—
Chinese Robotics—1 (0%)
Chinese biopharma1 (0%)—
Chinese economy1 (0%)—
Chipotle Mexican Grill1 (0%)—
Cisco—1 (0%)
Clear Secure, a single—1 (0%)
Coinbase1 (0%)2 (1%)
Commodities1 (0%)—
Copper3 (0%)—
CoreWeave4 (0%)—
CrowdStrike—1 (0%)
DAX7 (0%)3 (1%)
Dell Technologies2 (0%)1 (0%)
DoorDash—2 (1%)
DraftKings—1 (0%)
EUR/USD3 (0%)—
Eli Lilly1 (0%)1 (0%)
Etsy1 (0%)—
European stocks57 (3%)2 (1%)
Expedia Group1 (0%)—
Faeth Therapeutics—1 (0%)
Ferrari1 (0%)—
Ford Motor Company1 (0%)—
Fortinet1 (0%)—
French government bonds1 (0%)—
GBP/USD1 (0%)—
GE Vernova—1 (0%)
Generac Holdings1 (0%)—
Gold34 (2%)2 (1%)
Grail Inc—1 (0%)
HPE—1 (0%)
Hanwha Ocean1 (0%)—
Harmony Biosciences—1 (0%)
Hewlett Packard Enterprise1 (0%)—
Homebuilder1 (0%)—
Hospital—1 (0%)
Hybe1 (0%)—
Iceland EU vote1 (0%)—
Indian stocks23 (1%)—
Intuit—1 (0%)
Intuitive Surgical—1 (0%)
Ionis Pharma—1 (0%)
Japanese stocks20 (1%)—
JetBlue1 (0%)—
Johnson & Johnson1 (0%)—
Junk Bond ETF—1 (0%)
Korean1 (0%)—
Lithium1 (0%)—
Lockheed Martin—1 (0%)
Lucid Motors1 (0%)—
Luxury sector2 (0%)—
MGM Resorts1 (0%)—
Madison Air IPO1 (0%)—
Mastercard1 (0%)—
MaxLinear1 (0%)—
Medtronic—1 (0%)
Meta Platforms2 (0%)—
Micron Technology1 (0%)1 (0%)
Microsoft1 (0%)1 (0%)
Moderna—1 (0%)
Municipal Bonds1 (0%)—
NASDAQ48 (3%)25 (7%)
Natural Gas—1 (0%)
Netflix2 (0%)5 (1%)
New Zealand exporters1 (0%)—
Nike3 (0%)—
Nordson Corp—1 (0%)
Novo Nordisk2 (0%)—
Nvidia1 (0%)1 (0%)
Oil306 (18%)14 (4%)
Okta / cybersecurity—1 (0%)
Opera Software—1 (0%)
Oracle2 (0%)1 (0%)
Palantir2 (0%)—
Palantir Technologies1 (0%)—
Palo Alto Networks—1 (0%)
Paramount/Warner Bros merger1 (0%)—
PayPal—2 (1%)
Peloton1 (0%)—
Penguin Solutions1 (0%)—
PepsiCo1 (0%)—
Pfizer—1 (0%)
Pharmaceutical1 (0%)—
Pharmaceutical ETF1 (0%)—
Pop Mart1 (0%)—
Private Credit1 (0%)—
Qantas1 (0%)—
Refiner1 (0%)—
Restaurant Brands International1 (0%)—
Restaurant industry1 (0%)—
Retail—1 (0%)
Riot Platforms1 (0%)—
Rivian2 (0%)—
Robinhood2 (0%)5 (1%)
Rocket Lab—2 (1%)
Roku1 (0%)—
Royal Caribbean Cruises1 (0%)—
Rubrik—1 (0%)
SK Hynix1 (0%)—
Salesforce1 (0%)—
Samsara—1 (0%)
Samsung Electronics1 (0%)—
Saudi Aramco1 (0%)—
Seagate Technology—1 (0%)
Semtech—1 (0%)
SentinelOne—1 (0%)
Seven & i Holdings1 (0%)—
SharkNinja—1 (0%)
Sherwin-Williams1 (0%)—
Silver4 (0%)—
SoFi Technologies1 (0%)1 (0%)
South Korean rates1 (0%)—
South Korean solar1 (0%)—
SpaceX—2 (1%)
SpaceX IPO1 (0%)—
Swiss Franc2 (0%)—
Taiwan economy1 (0%)—
Take-Two Interactive1 (0%)—
Tapestry Inc1 (0%)—
Target Corp1 (0%)—
Target Corporation—1 (0%)
Telecom—1 (0%)
Tesla2 (0%)10 (3%)
Teva Pharma—1 (0%)
Turkish1 (0%)—
UK markets21 (1%)—
US Banking Sector1 (0%)—
US apartment rents1 (0%)—
US mortgage rates1 (0%)—
US-China summit expectations1 (0%)—
USA462 (27%)114 (31%)
USD2 (0%)—
USD/JPY15 (1%)—
Uber—1 (0%)
UniQure—1 (0%)
Union Pacific1 (0%)—
Utilities sector1 (0%)—
Vera—1 (0%)
Viatris—1 (0%)
Victoria's Secret—1 (0%)
Visa1 (0%)—
Walmart1 (0%)—
Wendy's2 (0%)—
West Pharma1 (0%)—
Workday—1 (0%)
Xpeng1 (0%)—
Zebra Technologies1 (0%)—
Zoom—1 (0%)
biotech1 (0%)—
bond1 (0%)—
cell tower operator—1 (0%)
consumer finance—1 (0%)
consumer stock/haircare sector1 (0%)—
cryptocurrencies (Crypto)15 (1%)4 (1%)
data storage manufacturer1 (0%)—
defense industry1 (0%)—
global markets136 (8%)4 (1%)
hard drive—1 (0%)
home furnishings1 (0%)—
memory1 (0%)—
natural gas pipeline operators1 (0%)—
prediction markets / Robinhood1 (0%)—
quantum computing—1 (0%)
retail1 (0%)—
small-cap1 (0%)—
software stock / Salesforce1 (0%)—
technology stocks (Tech)315 (19%)96 (26%)
uranium1 (0%)1 (0%)
used car—1 (0%)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Which is more reliable: CNBC or Investors Business Daily?▼
CNBC (38.6%) and Investors Business Daily (37.0%) get the same verdict against chance, measured from the first tradable price. A raw hit rate mostly reflects which markets a source covers, so a gap between the two rates alone says little.
How are these comparisons calculated?▼
AI rates each headline’s tone as up, down or sideways for its market. From the first price a reader could trade we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days, and compare each source’s hit rate with chance for its own mix of calls (method on /how-reliable-is). Sources are compared on that verdict, their tone mix and the markets they cover.
What markets do CNBC and Investors Business Daily both cover?▼
They share 24 market contexts: Apple, Biotech, Bitcoin, Coinbase, DAX, Dell Technologies, Eli Lilly, European stocks, Gold, Micron Technology, Microsoft, NASDAQ, Netflix, Nvidia, Oil, Oracle, Robinhood, SoFi Technologies, Tesla, USA, cryptocurrencies (Crypto), global markets, technology stocks (Tech), uranium. Each source may also cover additional markets independently.

Our Methodology

AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.