Does financial news predict prices? We checked, source by source.
AIamond rates which market each article is about and which way it points, then compares that with the real price move. So far, no rated source is distinguishable from chance. All of it — the tone, the record, and the method — is open data, CC BY 4.0, with an API and an MCP server for the sources you build with it.
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Is this another AI stock-picking tool?
No. AIamond makes no forecasts and gives no trading advice. It only reads what published news says and later checks it against the real price, with a correction for testing many sources at once. It is a free hobby project with no revenue; see every source's record, unedited, at /how-reliable-is.
| Source | Hit rate | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| FXStreet | 36.38% | Not distinguishable from chance |
| CNBC Top News | 38.5% | Not distinguishable from chance |
| Handelsblatt | 34.3% | Not distinguishable from chance |
| Financial Times | 37.29% | Not distinguishable from chance |
| BeInCrypto | 38.22% | Not distinguishable from chance |
17 sources with a published rate
Use the data yourself
Open, free, and built for whatever you are building — an agent, a dashboard, a piece of research.
Open data, keyless
Every market, every source, CC BY 4.0. No key for reading, 1,000 requests a day with one.
curl -s https://api.aiamond.com/api/v1/open/sources.json | jq '.items[] | {source, verdict: .overall.verdict}'For AI assistants (MCP)
Add this remote server to an assistant that supports MCP. Two read-only tools: the source record and the dataset version.
https://api.aiamond.com/mcpCC BY 4.0, attribute and go
No sign-up to read it. Every change to how a number is measured is dated in the change log. change log
The News, Read for You
AI reads publishers' own news feeds throughout the day. You get a short summary of each article.
Sources Checked Against the Price
See how often each source was right, and whether any of them beats chance.
Alerts for Your Markets
Get an e-mail when important news on your markets comes in.
The Problem with Financial News
Day traders face the same challenges every single day
Information Overload
Bloomberg, Reuters, Handelsblatt, CoinDesk — hundreds of articles published daily. Impossible to read them all.
Unreliable Sources
Some sources sound sure of themselves and are still wrong. Without a record, you can’t tell whether any of them is right more often than chance.
Multiple Languages
DAX news breaks in German, Wall Street news in English. Reading every language yourself is not realistic.
Too Much Time
Reading and sorting the news by hand takes hours every day — time you could spend on your own decisions.
How It Works
From raw news to a clear picture per market, in three steps.
Collect
We fetch articles from publishers' own financial news feeds in English and German, on a staggered schedule throughout the day.
Read
An AI model reads each article — Qwen on our own hardware or a cloud model (Anthropic Claude, OpenAI GPT). It rates the tone from −1 to +1 and names the market, the drivers and the risks.
Deliver
The result lands in your dashboard, in your e-mail digest at 9am your time, and on Discord and Telegram — filtered to your markets.
What You Get
Follow the news on your markets, check each source’s record and get alerts — all in one place.
News Feed
New reports as they are analysed, filtered by market and impact.
Source Hit Rates
How often each source was right, compared with chance.
News Picture per Market
Tone, drivers and risks for each market, read by AI.
Alerts
An e-mail when news on your markets matches your rules.
Economic Calendar
Upcoming macro data, central bank decisions and earnings.
DAX Before 9
Every trading day at 8:30 Frankfurt time: the DAX reports that matter, by e-mail.
We Check the News Against the Price
Every headline’s tone is checked against the later price move. That record is public, for every source.
The finding so far: headline tone alone does not call the next move better than chance. That is why AIamond shows you what the news says, not what the price will do.
Measured so far
- 105,000
- reports checked against the later price move
- 35%
- of the time the headline tone matched the move
- 0
- of the rated sources have beaten chance, after correcting for testing many at once
Measured figures, as of October 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
Let AI Read the News for You
The news picture for your markets, every morning at 9 in your inbox. Free, no credit card needed.