AIamond
Head-to-Head Comparison

CoinDeskvsFinancial Times

CoinDesk (37.3% hit rate) vs Financial Times (37.5% hit rate): how often each source’s headline tone matched the later price move.

Neither did better against chance than the other

Based on 1425 and 3149 checked headlines

CoinDesk

Ranked #11 of — sources

Metric
Financial Times

Ranked #14 of — sources

Hit rate

37.3%vs37.5%

Checked reports

1,425vs3,149

Articles Analyzed

754vs1,783

Avg. Relevance

-vs-

Sentiment & Bias Analysis

How bullish or bearish each source’s headlines tend to be.

Sentiment Distribution

CoinDesk

Avg. Sentiment: -0.08
Bullish 40%Neutral 4%Bearish 56%

Financial Times

Avg. Sentiment: -0.10
Bullish 37%Neutral 9%Bearish 54%

Market Context Coverage

Hit rate by marketCoinDeskFinancial Times
AI infrastructure bonds—1 (0%)
Anthropic IPO—1 (0%)
Argentine peso—1 (0%)
Asian stocks—85 (6%)
Australian stocks3 (0%)23 (2%)
Avalanche2 (0%)—
BNB2 (0%)3 (0%)
Bitcoin495 (68%)18 (1%)
Brazilian markets—1 (0%)
Cardano1 (0%)—
China 10-year government bonds—1 (0%)
Coinbase1 (0%)—
Copper—2 (0%)
DAX—10 (1%)
Dogecoin1 (0%)—
EUR/USD—4 (0%)
Ethereum22 (3%)—
European natural gas—1 (0%)
European stocks1 (0%)72 (5%)
French bond—1 (0%)
Glencore—1 (0%)
Gold1 (0%)44 (3%)
Indian stocks2 (0%)72 (5%)
Indonesian—1 (0%)
Indonesian stock—1 (0%)
Japanese stocks2 (0%)52 (4%)
Kazakh tenge—1 (0%)
NASDAQ9 (1%)12 (1%)
Oil2 (0%)411 (29%)
Silver—3 (0%)
Solana7 (1%)—
South Korean—1 (0%)
Turkish—1 (0%)
UK markets3 (0%)79 (6%)
US banking sector—1 (0%)
US short-term interest rates—1 (0%)
USA9 (1%)221 (16%)
USD/JPY—20 (1%)
XRP28 (4%)—
critical minerals—1 (0%)
cryptocurrencies (Crypto)129 (18%)17 (1%)
global food—1 (0%)
global markets4 (1%)147 (10%)
high-yield credit markets—1 (0%)
junk-rated corporate bonds—1 (0%)
neocloud/AI infrastructure1 (0%)—
private—1 (0%)
private markets—1 (0%)
technology stocks (Tech)4 (1%)101 (7%)

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Each source’s hit rate, compared with chance

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Frequently Asked Questions

Which is more reliable: CoinDesk or Financial Times?▼
CoinDesk (37.3%) and Financial Times (37.5%) get the same verdict against chance, measured from the first tradable price. A raw hit rate mostly reflects which markets a source covers, so a gap between the two rates alone says little.
How are these comparisons calculated?▼
AI rates each headline’s tone as up, down or sideways for its market. From the first price a reader could trade we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days, and compare each source’s hit rate with chance for its own mix of calls (method on /how-reliable-is). Sources are compared on that verdict, their tone mix and the markets they cover.
What markets do CoinDesk and Financial Times both cover?▼
They share 14 market contexts: Australian stocks, BNB, Bitcoin, European stocks, Gold, Indian stocks, Japanese stocks, NASDAQ, Oil, UK markets, USA, cryptocurrencies (Crypto), global markets, technology stocks (Tech). Each source may also cover additional markets independently.

Our Methodology

AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.