How Often Is BeInCrypto Right?
BeInCrypto: 38.2% hit rate over 3,020 checks, against 38.4% by chance for the same calls in the same markets. Verdict: Not distinguishable from chance.
38.2 %
Hit rate
38.4 %
Chance
-0.1 pts
Vs. chance
3,020
Checked reports
The record by horizon
The interval is the range the edge would most likely fall in if the measurement were repeated (95 %). The verdict already corrects for testing many sources at once (Holm correction): one interval missing zero does not by itself make that source distinguishable from chance.
| Horizon | Checked reports | Days | Hit rate | Chance | Vs. chance (95 % interval) | Detectable from | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All horizons | 3,020 | 213 | 38.3% | 38.4% | −0.1 pts(−2.7 to +2.4) | ±3.7 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 1 d | 1,024 | 213 | 37.2% | 37.4% | −0.2 pts(−2.8 to +2.4) | ±3.7 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 3 d | 1,012 | 210 | 39.3% | 39.0% | +0.4 pts(−3.1 to +3.8) | ±4.9 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 7 d | 984 | 206 | 38.2% | 38.9% | −0.7 pts(−5.0 to +3.7) | ±6.3 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
Method source-record-v2, registered and never edited. Read the method. Are you a named source and think a number is wrong, or want to reply? Write to info@aiamond.com; corrections are listed in the change log.
About BeInCrypto
BeInCrypto: Crypto editorial, English. AIamond has analysed 1,553 of its articles; they gave 3,020 checks from the first tradable price (each article is checked at up to three horizons).
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Our Methodology
AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.