AIamond
Head-to-Head Comparison

CNBCvsTagesschau

CNBC (38.6% hit rate) vs Tagesschau (33.3% hit rate): how often each source’s headline tone matched the later price move.

Neither did better against chance than the other

Based on 3910 and 943 checked headlines

CNBC

Ranked #3 of — sources

Metric
Tagesschau

Ranked #10 of — sources

Hit rate

38.6%vs33.3%

Checked reports

3,910vs943

Articles Analyzed

1,937vs378

Avg. Relevance

-vs-

Sentiment & Bias Analysis

How bullish or bearish each source’s headlines tend to be.

Sentiment Distribution

CNBC

Avg. Sentiment: 0.02
Bullish 51%Neutral 5%Bearish 45%

Tagesschau

Avg. Sentiment: -0.07
Bullish 42%Neutral 6%Bearish 52%

Market Context Coverage

Hit rate by marketCNBCTagesschau
AST SpaceMobile1 (0%)—
AT&T1 (0%)—
Adobe, single software1 (0%)—
Affirm Holdings1 (0%)—
Airline1 (0%)—
Aluminum2 (0%)—
Amazon4 (0%)—
Amazon/US Tech—1 (0%)
Apple2 (0%)—
Asian stocks51 (3%)3 (1%)
Australian stocks6 (0%)—
Automotive industry1 (0%)1 (0%)
Autonomous driving1 (0%)—
BNB1 (0%)1 (0%)
Baidu1 (0%)—
Beiersdorf—1 (0%)
Berkshire Hathaway1 (0%)—
Biogen1 (0%)—
Biotech1 (0%)—
Bitcoin25 (2%)1 (0%)
Block Inc1 (0%)—
Booking Holdings1 (0%)—
Bosch—1 (0%)
Brazilian2 (0%)—
Brazilian markets—1 (0%)
Brazilian real1 (0%)—
CVS Health, healthcare/managed care1 (0%)—
ChargePoint1 (0%)—
China industrial profits1 (0%)—
China trade data1 (0%)—
Chinese biopharma1 (0%)—
Chinese economy1 (0%)—
Chipotle Mexican Grill1 (0%)—
Coinbase1 (0%)—
Commodities1 (0%)—
Copper3 (0%)—
CoreWeave4 (0%)—
DAX7 (0%)190 (52%)
Dell Technologies2 (0%)—
EUR/USD3 (0%)1 (0%)
Eli Lilly1 (0%)—
Etsy1 (0%)—
European stocks57 (3%)42 (11%)
Expedia Group1 (0%)—
Ferrari1 (0%)—
Ford Motor Company1 (0%)—
Fortinet1 (0%)—
French government bonds1 (0%)—
GBP/USD1 (0%)—
Generac Holdings1 (0%)—
Gold34 (2%)—
Hanwha Ocean1 (0%)—
Hewlett Packard Enterprise1 (0%)—
Homebuilder1 (0%)—
Hybe1 (0%)—
Iceland EU vote1 (0%)—
Indian stocks23 (1%)1 (0%)
Japanese stocks20 (1%)1 (0%)
JetBlue1 (0%)—
Johnson & Johnson1 (0%)—
Korean1 (0%)—
Lithium1 (0%)—
Lucid Motors1 (0%)—
Luxury sector2 (0%)—
MGM Resorts1 (0%)—
Madison Air IPO1 (0%)—
Mastercard1 (0%)—
MaxLinear1 (0%)—
Mercedes-Benz—2 (1%)
Meta Platforms2 (0%)—
Micron Technology1 (0%)—
Microsoft1 (0%)—
Municipal Bonds1 (0%)—
NASDAQ48 (3%)6 (2%)
Netflix2 (0%)—
New Zealand exporters1 (0%)—
Nike3 (0%)—
Novo Nordisk2 (0%)—
Nvidia1 (0%)—
Oil306 (18%)54 (15%)
Oracle2 (0%)—
Palantir2 (0%)—
Palantir Technologies1 (0%)—
Paramount/Warner Bros merger1 (0%)—
Peloton1 (0%)—
Penguin Solutions1 (0%)—
PepsiCo1 (0%)—
Pharmaceutical1 (0%)—
Pharmaceutical ETF1 (0%)—
Pop Mart1 (0%)—
Private Credit1 (0%)—
Qantas1 (0%)—
Real Estate—1 (0%)
Refiner1 (0%)—
Restaurant Brands International1 (0%)—
Restaurant industry1 (0%)—
Rheinmetall—1 (0%)
Riot Platforms1 (0%)—
Rivian2 (0%)—
Robinhood2 (0%)—
Roku1 (0%)—
Royal Caribbean Cruises1 (0%)—
SK Hynix1 (0%)—
Salesforce1 (0%)—
Samsung Electronics1 (0%)—
Saudi Aramco1 (0%)—
Seven & i Holdings1 (0%)—
Sherwin-Williams1 (0%)—
Siemens Energy—1 (0%)
Silver4 (0%)—
SoFi Technologies1 (0%)—
South Korean rates1 (0%)—
South Korean solar1 (0%)—
SpaceX IPO1 (0%)—
Swiss Franc2 (0%)—
Taiwan economy1 (0%)—
Take-Two Interactive1 (0%)—
Tapestry Inc1 (0%)—
Target Corp1 (0%)—
Tesla2 (0%)—
Turkish1 (0%)—
UK markets21 (1%)—
US Banking Sector1 (0%)—
US Government Bonds—1 (0%)
US apartment rents1 (0%)—
US mortgage rates1 (0%)—
US-China summit expectations1 (0%)—
USA462 (27%)14 (4%)
USD2 (0%)—
USD/JPY15 (1%)1 (0%)
Union Pacific1 (0%)—
Utilities sector1 (0%)—
Visa1 (0%)—
Volkswagen—2 (1%)
Volkswagen AG—1 (0%)
Walmart1 (0%)—
Wendy's2 (0%)—
West Pharma1 (0%)—
Xpeng1 (0%)—
Zebra Technologies1 (0%)—
biotech1 (0%)—
bond1 (0%)—
consumer stock/haircare sector1 (0%)—
cryptocurrencies (Crypto)15 (1%)—
data storage manufacturer1 (0%)—
defense industry1 (0%)—
global markets136 (8%)22 (6%)
home furnishings1 (0%)—
media M&A—1 (0%)
memory1 (0%)—
natural gas pipeline operators1 (0%)—
prediction markets / Robinhood1 (0%)—
retail1 (0%)—
small-cap1 (0%)—
software stock / Salesforce1 (0%)—
technology stocks (Tech)315 (19%)17 (5%)
uranium1 (0%)—

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Frequently Asked Questions

Which is more reliable: CNBC or Tagesschau?▼
CNBC (38.6%) and Tagesschau (33.3%) get the same verdict against chance, measured from the first tradable price. A raw hit rate mostly reflects which markets a source covers, so a gap between the two rates alone says little.
How are these comparisons calculated?▼
AI rates each headline’s tone as up, down or sideways for its market. From the first price a reader could trade we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days, and compare each source’s hit rate with chance for its own mix of calls (method on /how-reliable-is). Sources are compared on that verdict, their tone mix and the markets they cover.
What markets do CNBC and Tagesschau both cover?▼
They share 15 market contexts: Asian stocks, Automotive industry, BNB, Bitcoin, DAX, EUR/USD, European stocks, Indian stocks, Japanese stocks, NASDAQ, Oil, USA, USD/JPY, global markets, technology stocks (Tech). Each source may also cover additional markets independently.

Our Methodology

AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.