How Often Is Handelsblatt Right?
Handelsblatt: 34.3% hit rate over 3,312 checks, against 34.7% by chance for the same calls in the same markets. Verdict: Not distinguishable from chance.
34.3 %
Hit rate
34.7 %
Chance
-0.3 pts
Vs. chance
3,312
Checked reports
The record by horizon
The interval is the range the edge would most likely fall in if the measurement were repeated (95 %). The verdict already corrects for testing many sources at once (Holm correction): one interval missing zero does not by itself make that source distinguishable from chance.
| Horizon | Checked reports | Days | Hit rate | Chance | Vs. chance (95 % interval) | Detectable from | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All horizons | 3,312 | 228 | 34.3% | 34.7% | −0.4 pts(−2.2 to +1.5) | ±2.7 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 1 d | 1,131 | 228 | 36.9% | 35.1% | +1.7 pts(−1.4 to +4.9) | ±4.5 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 3 d | 1,097 | 224 | 32.3% | 34.4% | −2.1 pts(−5.0 to +0.8) | ±4.2 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
| 7 d | 1,084 | 221 | 33.8% | 34.5% | −0.7 pts(−4.5 to +3.1) | ±5.4 pts | Not distinguishable from chance |
Method source-record-v2, registered and never edited. Read the method. Are you a named source and think a number is wrong, or want to reply? Write to info@aiamond.com; corrections are listed in the change log.
About Handelsblatt
Handelsblatt: Editorial news, Deutsch. AIamond has analysed 1,468 of its articles; they gave 3,312 checks from the first tradable price (each article is checked at up to three horizons).
Recent reports
| Title | Hit rate by market | Trend | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of England: Britische Notenbank hebt Zinsen erstmals seit drei Jahren an – auf 4,0 Prozent | UK markets | ||
| Bank of England: Notenbank hebt Zinsen erstmals seit drei Jahren an | UK markets | ||
| Commerzbank: Commerzbank baut Gewinn vor Übernahme durch Unicredit aus – senkt aber eine wichtige Prognose | DAX | ||
| KI: CoreWeave fällt, Amazon gewinnt: Wie die Midterms den KI-Sektor spalten | technology stocks (Tech) | ||
| Nikkei, Yen, Hang Seng: Börsen in Asien nach US-Zwischenwahlen uneinheitlich - Technologiewerte brechen ein | Asian stocks | ||
| Immobilien: Kaufpreise für Wohnungen sinken erstmals seit mehr als zwei Jahren | DAX | ||
| Silicon Valley: CoreWeave fällt, Amazon gewinnt – Wie die Midterms den KI-Sektor spalten | technology stocks (Tech) | ||
| US-Bören: CoreWeave fällt, Amazon gewinnt – Wie die Midterms den KI-Sektor spalten | technology stocks (Tech) | ||
| Börsen: Midterms lösen Erholungsrally in den USA aus – KI-Aktien fallen trotzdem | USA | ||
| Börsen: KI-Aktien fallen nach Midterms in den USA: sichere Anlagen gefragt | NASDAQ |
See today's news picture — not a forecast
A short, free daily e-mail with the most relevant market news and which way the coverage leans, with sources.
Get Free AI Market Insights
The news picture for your markets, read by AI. Free, no credit card required.
AI-Analysed Market Trends
Browse the analysed trends for free
Your Own Dashboard
Watchlists and the News Picture, whenever you check
How often the news was right
Each source’s hit rate, compared with chance
Frequently Asked Questions
How does AIamond measure source reliability?▼
Can you rely on Handelsblatt to call the market?▼
How many news sources does AIamond track?▼
How often is the reliability data updated?▼
Our Methodology
AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.