DecryptvsThe Block
Decrypt (36.5% hit rate) vs The Block (36.6% hit rate): how often each source’s headline tone matched the later price move.
Neither did better against chance than the other
Based on 929 and 999 checked headlines
Sentiment & Bias Analysis
How bullish or bearish each source’s headlines tend to be.
Sentiment Distribution
Decrypt
The Block
Market Context Coverage
| Hit rate by market | Decrypt | The Block |
|---|---|---|
| Alibaba | 1 (0%) | — |
| Asian stocks | 1 (0%) | — |
| Australian stocks | — | 2 (0%) |
| Avalanche | 2 (0%) | 4 (1%) |
| BNB | 1 (0%) | 3 (1%) |
| Banking & Lending | 1 (0%) | — |
| Binance | 2 (0%) | 1 (0%) |
| Bitcoin | 285 (58%) | 287 (51%) |
| Bullish | — | 1 (0%) |
| Cardano | 1 (0%) | 1 (0%) |
| Circle | — | 3 (1%) |
| Circle/USDC | — | 1 (0%) |
| DAX | — | 1 (0%) |
| Dogecoin | 2 (0%) | 1 (0%) |
| Ethereum | 27 (6%) | 34 (6%) |
| European stocks | 1 (0%) | — |
| Figure Technology | — | 1 (0%) |
| GBP/USD | — | 2 (0%) |
| Galaxy Digital | — | 1 (0%) |
| Gemini | — | 1 (0%) |
| Gold | 1 (0%) | — |
| Hut 8 Corp | — | 1 (0%) |
| Hyperliquid/HYPE | 1 (0%) | — |
| IREN | — | 3 (1%) |
| Intel | 1 (0%) | — |
| Japanese stocks | — | 2 (0%) |
| Lido | — | 1 (0%) |
| MSTR | — | 1 (0%) |
| NASDAQ | 1 (0%) | 1 (0%) |
| Nvidia | 3 (1%) | — |
| Oil | 3 (1%) | — |
| Polkadot | — | 1 (0%) |
| Robinhood | — | 3 (1%) |
| Securitize | — | 1 (0%) |
| Solana | 12 (2%) | 23 (4%) |
| Strategy Inc / MSTR | — | 1 (0%) |
| Strive | — | 1 (0%) |
| Tether/USDT | — | 1 (0%) |
| Tokenized | — | 1 (0%) |
| UK markets | 2 (0%) | 5 (1%) |
| USA | 6 (1%) | 2 (0%) |
| XRP | 12 (2%) | 11 (2%) |
| Zcash | 3 (1%) | — |
| cryptocurrencies (Crypto) | 105 (21%) | 158 (28%) |
| global markets | 1 (0%) | 1 (0%) |
| prediction markets | — | 1 (0%) |
| technology stocks (Tech) | 16 (3%) | 2 (0%) |
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How often the news was right
Each source’s hit rate, compared with chance
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is more reliable: Decrypt or The Block?▼
How are these comparisons calculated?▼
What markets do Decrypt and The Block both cover?▼
Our Methodology
AI classifies each article's tone as up, down or sideways for the market it covers. From the first price a reader could trade after publication we check the move after 1, 3 and 7 days. A source's hit rate is compared with chance for the same calls and outcomes within each market, so covering calm or busy markets earns nothing. Each difference comes with a 95 % interval; checks close in time are resampled together in blocks of 7 or 14 days, because they share market moves. A verdict needs at least 300 checks and must hold after correcting for the number of sources tested (Holm). This answers "did the market move that way?": a hit rate, not a return. AIamond makes no forecasts of its own.